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The Bell Curve
Originally prepared by: Brian Beatty
Revised:
The Bell Curve, published in 1994, was written by Richard
Herrnstein
and Charles Murray as a work designed to explain, using empirical
statistical
analysis, the variations in intelligence in American Society, raise some
warnings regarding the consequences of this intelligence gap, and propose
national social policy with the goal of mitigating the worst of the
consequences
attributed to this intelligence gap. Many of the assertions put forth
and conclusions reached by the authors are very controversial, ranging
from the relationships between low measured intelligence and anti-social
behavior, to the observed relationship between low African-American test
scores (compared to whites and Asians) and genetic factors in
intelligence
abilities. The book was released and received with a large public
response.
In the first several months of its release, 400,000 copies of the book
were sold around the world. Several thousand reviews and commentaries
have been written in the short time since the book's publication.
Outline
(back to top)
CONTENT
Introduction - assumptions
about intelligence
Part 1 - The Cognitive Elite
Part 2 - IQ and Social
Problems
Part 3 - IQ and Race
Part 4 - IQ and Social
Policy
CRITICISMS
Stephen Jay Gould - Mismeasure by
any Measure
On Social Darwinism
On the genetic nature of IQ
On pervasive disingenuousness
On social policy
On faulty conclusions
Howard Gardner - Scholarly
Brinksmanship
Scholarly brinkmanship
On divisive arguments
On social policy
Concluding comments
Leon J. Kamin - Lies, Damned Lies, and
Statistics
An overall
perspective
On the subject of evidence
sources
On statistical
abuse
On the relationship
between
poverty and intelligence
On affirmative
action
On the divisiveness
of The Bell Curve's argument
BIBLIOGRAPHY
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CONTENT
Introduction - assumptions about
intelligence
The Bell Curve begins with fundamental and important assumptions, makes
assertions (supported by the author’s evidence), draws conclusions based
on statistical analysis of the evidentiary data, and concludes with
wide-ranging
recommendations for national policy-makers to follow. The authors state
that their main motive is, " the quest for human dignity." (p. 551).
Their concluding paragraph seems to support this motive:
"Inequality of endowments, including intelligence, is a
reality.
Trying to pretend that inequality does not really exist has led to
disaster.
Trying to eradicate inequality with artificially manufactured outcomes
has led to disaster. It is time for America once again to try living with
inequality, as life is lived: understanding that each human being has
strengths and weaknesses, qualities we admire and qualities we do not
admire, competencies and incompetencies, assets and debits; that the
success
of each human life is not measured externally but internally; that all
of the rewards we can confer on each other, the most precious is a place
as a valued fellow citizen." (pp 551-552)
The Bell Curve, in its introduction, begins with a brief description of
the history of intelligence theory and recent developments in intelligence
thought and testing, through the eyes of the authors. The introduction
concludes
with six important assumptions that the authors build much of the Bell
Curve's
case upon. These six assumptions regarding the validity of "classical"
cognitive
testing techniques include:
- There is such a difference as a general factor of cognitive
ability
on which human beings differ.
- All standardized test of academic aptitude or
achievement
measure this general factor to some degree, but IQ tests expressly
designed for that purpose measure it most accurately.
- IQ scores match, to a first degree, whatever it is that
people mean when they use the word intelligent, or smart in ordinary
language.
- IQ scores are stable, although not perfectly so, over
much of a person's life.
- Properly administered IQ tests are not demonstrably
biased
against social, economic, ethnic, or racial groups.
- Cognitive ability is substantially heritable, apparently
no less than 40 percent and no more than 80 percent.
The authors proceed to explain, using classical cognitive test results
primarily,
to explain how lower levels of measured intelligence impact an
individual's,
or indeed an entire class or group of individual's life in American
society.
The rest of the book is divided into four major parts.
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Part 1 - The Cognitive Elite
Part 1 (Chapters 1-4) describes the intelligence stratification
of American society and the resulting emergence of a "Cognitive Elite".
The essential conclusions of this Part of the book are that more
intelligent
(higher measured IQ) Americans are selected for college, and end up in
fewer professions; American society is becoming cognitively stratified,
with the Cognitive Elite crossing paths rarely with those of lower
cognitive
abilities. In the last half of the twentieth century, more and more
Americans
have been getting college degrees. College graduates have been funneled
into a selective few occupations, especially for the brightest of the
bright. The authors assert that more intelligent employees are more
proficient
employees, so that even among high-IQ professions like law, the highest
IQ persons end up at the top. In addition, the authors argue that IQ
tests
could be the most important indicator of potential employee success, and
therefore should be allowable as an input to the hiring process. A final
point is made with respect to earnings based on cognitive ability. Since
the cognitive elite are more proficient, they make more money, live in
different areas, and send their children to different schools, churches,
stores, etc. This leads directly to physical separation from the rest
of society.
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Part 2 - IQ and Social
Problems
Part 2 (Chapters 5-12) of the book addresses social groups at
the low end of the cognitive ability spectrum. Assertions are made, and
conclusions reached, concerning the propensity of people involved in
anti-social
or otherwise undesirable behavior or situations to be below average when
measured for cognitive ability. The conclusions reached are summarized
as follows:
- Poverty - Low IQ is a strong precursor of poverty, even more
so than the socioeconomic conditions in which people grow
up.
- Schooling - Low IQ raises the likelihood of dropping out of
school before completing high school, and decreases the likelihood of
attaining a college degree.
- Unemployment, Idleness and Injury - Low IQ is associated with
persons who are unemployed, injured often, or idle (removed themselves
from the workforce).
- Family Matters - Low IQ correlates with high rates of
divorce,
lower rates of marriage, and higher rates of illegitimate
births,
- Welfare Dependency - Low IQ increases the chances of chronic
welfare dependency.
- Parenting - Low IQ of mothers correlates with low birth
weight
babies, a child's poor motor skill and social development, and
children's
behavioral problems from age 4 and up.
- Crime - Low IQ increases the risk of criminal
behavior.
- Civility and Citizenship - Low IQ people vote least and care
least about political issues.
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Part 3 - IQ and Race
Part 3 (Chapters 13 - 17) addresses issues of a national focus,
turning attention to cognitive and social behavioral differences between
racial and ethnic groups. The controversy surrounding these topics, and
the incredibly complex nature of the comparisons being made is
acknowledged
by the authors from the outset; the reader is cautioned to "read
carefully".
The assertions and conclusions reached in this part of The Bell Curve
include the following:
- Ethnic Differences in Cognitive Ability - East Asians
typically
earn higher IQ scores than white Americans, especially in the verbal
intelligence areas. African-Americans typically earn IQ scores one full
standard deviation below those of white Americans. The IQ difference
between African-Americans and whites remains at all levels of
socioeconomic
status (SES), and is even more pronounced at higher levels of SES.
Recent
narrowing of the average IQ gap between black and white Americans
(about
3 IQ points) is attributed to a lessening of low black scores and not
an overall improvement in black scores on average. The debate over
genes
versus environment influences on the race IQ gap is
acknowledged.
- The Demography of Intelligence - Mounting evidence indicates
that demographic trends are exerting downward pressure on the
distribution
of cognitive ability in the United States and that the pressures are
strong enough to have social consequences. Birth rates among highly
educated women are falling faster than those of low IQ women. The IQ
of the average immigrant of today is 95, lower than the national
average,
but more importantly the new immigrants are less brave, less hard
working,
less imaginative, and less self-starting than many of the immigrant
groups of the past.
- Social Behavior and the Prevalence of Low Cognitive Ability
- For most of the worst social problems of our time, the people who
have the problem are heavily concentrated in the lower portion of the
cognitive ability spectrum. Solutions designed to solve or mitigate
any of these problems must accommodate, even be focused towards, the
low cognitive ability profile if they are to have any hope of
succeeding.
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Part 4 - IQ and Social Policy
Part 4 (Chapters 17 - 22) focus on the idea that we must all live
together in this country of diverse cognitive ability, just as we must
all live together in this nation of diverse racial and ethnic background.
All major domestic issues that we address must include a component that
takes into account the predominant cognitive levels of the target
population.
For example, if we want to implement a training program for unemployed
men, we should realize that fully half of the target group will have
measured
IQ below 80. This should have a significant impact on the resulting
social
program or policy we establish. Specifically, the discussions in this
part of the book, the culmination of the author's efforts, include:
- Raising Cognitive Ability - If it were possible to
significantly,
consistently, and affordably raise intelligence, many of the negative
consequences of societal low IQ could be mitigated or removed. However,
historical attempts to raise IQ using nutritional programs, additional
formal schooling, and government preschool programs (such as Head
Start)
have proven to have little if any lasting impact on intelligence as
measured by IQ tests. The one intervention that has consistently worked
to raise intelligence is adoption form a bad family environment into
a good one. The authors recommend that children born to single mothers
with low cognitive ability be voluntarily given up for
adoption.
- The Leveling of American Education - The average American
school child has not suffered from recent declines in overall school
system measurements. Indeed, the focus of American public education
has shifted more and more towards educating the average and
below-average
child to the exclusion of gifted children. Among the most gifted
students,
SAT scores have been falling since the mid -1960ís. No more than
one-tenth
of one percent of federal education spending is targeted towards the
gifted students. As American education has been "dumbed down" to
accommodate
the average and below average students, the gifted students have been
allowed to slide by without developing their true potential. The
authors
recommend that some federal education funds be shifted from
disadvantaged
programs to gifted programs, and that the federal government encourage
parental choice in education through voucher programs, public school
choice programs, or tax credits for education. A final recommendation
is for educators to once again view as one of the chief purposes of
our educational system to educate the gifted because the future of
society
depends on them, an education that fosters wisdom and virtue through
the ideal of the "educated man".
- Affirmative Action in Higher Education - The edge given to
minority applicants to college and graduate school is an extremely
large
advantage that puts them in a separate admissions process. Asians are
a conspicuously unprotected minority due in large part to their above
average intelligence scores. The cost of affirmative action in higher
education includes the psychological consequences of students admitted
under affirmative action programs, at lower cognitive ability levels,
being seen as a low proportion of the overall student population, but
a high proportion of the students doing poorly in school. This can lead
to increased racial animosity and the high black dropout rate on
American
campuses. The authors recommend a color-blind affirmative action,
giving
preference to members of disadvantaged groups when qualifications are
similar.
- Affirmative Action in the Workplace - Affirmative action
programs
in the workplace have had some impact, on some kinds of jobs, in some
settings, during the 1960ís and 70ís, but have not had the decisive
impact that is commonly asserted in political rhetoric. action does
produce large racial discrepancies in job performance in a given
workplace.
Blacks have been overrepresented in white collar and professional
occupations
relative to the number of candidates in the IQ range from which these
jobs are usually filled. The data suggest that aggressive affirmative
action does produce large racial discrepancies in job performance in
a given workplace. The authors recommend a color-blind affirmative
action,
giving preference to members of disadvantaged groups when
qualifications
are similar.
- The Way We are Headed - Three significant trends have emerged
that, left unchecked, will lead the U.S. toward something resembling
a caste society. These trends are: 1) An increasingly isolated
cognitive
elite, 2) A merging of the cognitive elite with the affluent, and 3)
A deteriorating quality of life for people at the bottom end of the
cognitive ability distribution. The authors see the continued
polarization
of society with the underclass anchored at the bottom, and the
cognitive
elite anchored at the top, restructuring the rules of society so that
it becomes harder and harder for them to lose. The author's denouement
of their prognosis is the coming of the "custodial state - an expanded
welfare state for the underclass that also keeps it out from
underfoot".
The custodial state will have the following consequences: 1) Childcare
in the inner city will become primarily the responsibility of the
state.
2) The homeless will vanish. 3) Strict policing and custodial responses
to crime will become more acceptable and widespread. 4) The underclass
will become even more concentrated spatially than it is today. 5) The
underclass will grow. 6) Social budgets and measures for social control
will become still more centralized. 7) Racism will reemerge in a new
and more virulent form.
- A Place for Everyone - In order to avoid the pessimistic
custodial
state conceptualized in the previous chapter, the authors propose a
different scenario for American society in this chapter. The foundation
to this alternative (more positive) scenario is the rethinking of
equality
and inequality.
CRITICISMS
The Bell Curve has inspired a literal mountain of response. A
good summary of the critical response to The Bell Curve can be
found in the book, The Bell Curve Debate, edited by Russell Jacoby
and Naomi Glauberman (1995). The following sections are excerpted from
The Bell Curve Debate:
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Mismeasure by any Measure
(excerpts)
Stephen Jay Gould
Stephen Jay Gould is a professor of zoology at
Harvard
University; he is author of The Mismeasure of Man, Hen's Teeth
and Horse's Toes, and many other works.
His article originally appeared in The New
Yorker,
November 28, 1994, entitled "Curveball."
The Bell Curve, by Richard J. Herrnstein and Charles Murray,
subtitled Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life, provides
a superb and unusual opportunity to gain insight into the meaning of
experiment
as a method in science. The primary desideratum in all experiments is
reduction of confusing variables: we bring all the buzzing and blooming
confusion of the external world into our laboratories and, holding all
else constant in our artificial simplicity, try to vary just one
potential
factor at a time. But many subjects defy the use of such an experimental
method particularly most social phenomena because importation into the
laboratory destroys the subject of the investigation, and then we must
yearn for simplifying guides in nature. If the external world
occasionally
obliges by holding some crucial factors constant for us, we can only
offer
thanks for this natural boost to understanding. (p. 3)
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On Social Darwinism:
The Bell Curve rests on two distinctly different but
sequential
arguments, which together encompass the classic corpus of biological
determinism as a social philosophy. The first argument rehashes the
tenets
of social Darwinism as it was originally constituted. Social Darwinism
has often been used as a general term for any evolutionary argument
about
the biological basis of human differences, but the initial nineteenth
century meaning referred to a specific theory of class stratification
within industrial societies, and particularly to the idea that there was
a permanently poor underclass consisting of genetically inferior people
who had precipitated down into their inevitable fate. The theory arose
from a paradox of egalitarianism: as long as people remain on top of the
social heap by accident of a noble name or parental wealth, and as long
as members of despised castes cannot rise no matter what their talents,
social stratification will not reflect intellectual merit, and brilliance
will be distributed across all classes; but when true equality of
opportunity
is attained, smart people rise and the lower classes become rigid,
retaining
only the intellectually incompetent.
This argument has attracted a variety of twentieth-century champions,
including the Stanford psychologist Lewis M. Terman, who imported
Alfred
Binet's original test from France, developed the Stanford-Binet IQ
test,
and gave a hereditarian interpretation to the results (one that Binet
had vigorously rejected in developing this style of test); Prime
Minister
Lee Kuan Yevv of Singapore, who tried to institute a eugenics program
of rewarding well-educated women for higher birth rates; and Richard
Herrnstein, a co-author of The Bell Curve and also the author of a 1971
Atlantic Monthly article that presented the same argument without the
documentation. The general claim is neither uninteresting nor
illogical,
but it does require the validity of four shaky premises, all asserted
(but hardly discussed or defended) by Herrnstein and Murray.
Intelligence,
in their formulation, must be depictable as a single number, capable
of ranking people in linear order, genetically based, and effectively
immutable. If any of these premises are false, their entire argument
collapses. For example, if all are true except immutability, then
programs
for early intervention in education might work to boost IQ permanently,
just as a pair of eyeglasses may correct a genetic defect in vision.
The central argument of The Bell Curve fails because most of the
premises
are false. (pp 4-5)
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On the genetic nature of IQ:
Herrnstein and Murray's second claim, the lightning rod for
most commentary, extends the argument for innate cognitive stratification
to a claim that racial differences in IQ are mostly determined by genetic
causes small differences for Asian superiority over Caucasian, but large
for Caucasians over people of African descent. This argument is as old
as the study of race, and is almost surely fallacious. The last
generation's
discussion centered on Arthur Jensen's 1980 book Bias in Mental Testing
(far more elaborate and varied than anything presented in The Bell Curve,
and therefore still a better source for grasping the argument and its
problems), and on the cranky advocacy of William Shockley, a Nobel
Prize-winning
physicist. The central fallacy in using the substantial heritability of
within-group IQ (among whites, for example) as an explanation of average
differences between groups (whites versus blacks, for example) is now
well known and acknowledged by all, including Herrnstein and Murray, but
deserves a restatement by example. Take a trait that is far more
heritable
than anyone has ever claimed IQ to be but is politically uncontroversial
body height. Suppose that I measure the heights of adult males in a poor
Indian village beset with nutritional deprivation, and suppose the
average
height of adult males is five feet six inches. Heritability within the
village is high, which is to say that tall fathers (they may average five
feet eight inches) tend to have tall sons, while short fathers (five feet
four inches on average) tend to have short sons. But this high
heritability
within the village does not mean that better nutrition might not raise
average height to five feet ten inches in a few generations. Similarly,
the well-documented fifteen-point average difference in IQ between blacks
and whites in America, with substantial heritability of IQ in family
lines
within each group, permits no automatic conclusion that truly equal
opportunity
might not raise the black average enough to equal or surpass the white
mean. (p. 5)
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On pervasive disingenuousness:
Disturbing as I find the anachronism of The Bell Curve, I am
even more distressed by its pervasive disingenuousness. The authors omit
facts, misuse statistical methods, and seem unwilling to admit the
consequences
of their own words. (p. 6)
Nothing in The Bell Curve angered me more than the authors' failure
to supply any justification for their central claim, the sine qua non
of their entire argument: that the number known as g, the celebrated
"general factor" of intelligence, first identified by the British
psychologist
Charles Spearman, in I904, captures a real property in the head. Murray
and Herrnstein simply declare that the issue has been decided, as in
this passage from their 1970 Republic article: "Among the experts, it
is by now beyond much technical dispute that there is such a thing as
a general factor of cognitive ability on which human beings differ and
that this general factor is measured reasonably well by a variety of
standardized tests, best of all by IQ tests designed for that purpose."
Such a statement represents extraordinary obfuscation, achievable only
if one takes "expert" to mean "that group of psychometricians working
in the tradition of g and its avatar IQ." The authors even admit that
there are three major schools of psychometric interpretation and that
only one supports their view of g and IQ. (p. 8)
But this issue cannot be decided, or even understood, without
discussing
the key and only rationale that has maintained g since Spearman
invented
it: factor analysis. The fact that Herrnstein and Murray barely mention
the factor-analytic argument forms a central indictment of The Bell
Curve and is an illustration of its vacuousness. How can the authors
base an 800-page book on a claim for the reality of IQ as measuring
a genuine, and largely genetic, general cognitive ability and then
hardly
discuss, either pro or con, the theoretical basis for their certainty?
(p. 8)
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On social policy:
Like so many conservative ideologues who rail against the
largely
bogus ogre of suffocating political correctness, Herrnstein and Murray
claim that they only want a hearing for unpopular views so that truth
will out. And here, for once, I agree entirely. As a card carrying First
Amendment (near) absolutist, I applaud the publication of unpopular views
that some people consider dangerous. I am delighted that The Bell Curve
was written so that its errors could be exposed, for Herrnstein and
Murray
are right to point out the difference between public and private agendas
on race, and we must struggle to make an impact on the private agendas
as well. But The Bell Curve is scarcely an academic treatise in social
theory and population genetics. It is a manifesto of conservative
ideology;
the book's inadequate and biased treatment of data displays its primary
purpose advocacy. The text evokes the dreary and scary drumbeat of claims
associated with conservative think tanks: reduction or elimination of
welfare, ending or sharply curtailing affirmative action in schools and
workplaces, cutting back Head Start and other forms of preschool
education,
trimming programs for the slowest learners and applying those funds to
the gifted. (I would love to see more attention paid to talented
students,
but not at this cruel price.) (p. 12)
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On faulty conclusions:
However, if Herrnstein and Murray are wrong, and IQ represents
not an immutable thing in the head, grading human beings on a single
scale
of general capacity with large numbers of custodial incompetents at the
bottom, then the model that generates their gloomy vision collapses, and
the wonderful variousness of human abilities, properly nurtured,
reemerges.
We must fight the doctrine of The Bell Curve both because it is wrong
and because it will, if activated, cut off all possibility of proper
nurturance
for everyone's intelligence. Of course, we cannot all be rocket
scientists
or brain surgeons, but those who can't might be rock musicians or
professional
athletes (and gain far more social prestige and salary thereby), while
others will indeed serve by standing and waiting. (p. 13)
I closed my chapter in The Mismeasure of Man on the unreality of g
and the fallacy of regarding intelligence as a single-scaled, innate
thing in the head with a marvellous quotation from John Stuart Mill,
well worth repeating: The tendency has always been strong to believe
that whatever received a name must be an entity or being, having an
independent existence of its own. And if no real entity answering to
the name could be found, men did not for that reason suppose that none
existed, but imagined that it was something particularly abstruse and
mysterious. (p. 13)
How strange that we would let a single and false number divide us,
when evolution has united all people in the recency of our common
ancestry thus
undergirding with a shared humanity that infinite variety which custom
can never stale. E pluribus unum. (p. 13)
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Scholarly Brinksmanship
(excerpts)
Howard Gardner
Howard Gardner is professor of education and
co-director
of Project Zero at Harvard University; he is the author of Leading
Minds (1995) and Frames of Mind(1983). His
article
originally appeared in The American Prospect, Winter 1994, titled
"Cracking Open the IQ Box."
The Bell Curve is a strange work. Some of the analysis and a good
deal of the tone are reasonable. Yet the science in the book was
questionable
when it was proposed a century ago, and it has now been completely
supplanted
by the development of the cognitive sciences and neurosciences. The
policy recommendations of the book are also exotic, neither following
from the analyses nor justified on their own. (p. 61)
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Scholarly brinkmanship:
... I became increasingly disturbed as I read and reread this
800 page work. I gradually realized I was encountering a style of thought
previously unknown to me: scholarly brinkmanship. Whether concerning an
issue of science, policy, or rhetoric, the authors come dangerously close
to embracing the most extreme positions, yet in the end shy away from
doing so. Discussing scientific work on intelligence, they never quite
say that intelligence is all important and tied to one's genes; yet they
signal that this is their belief and that readers ought to embrace the
same conclusions. Discussing policy, they never quite say that
affirmative
action should be totally abandoned or that childbearing or immigration
by those with low IQs should be curbed; yet they signal their sympathy
for these options and intimate that readers ought to consider these
possibilities.
Finally, the rhetoric of the book encourages readers to identify with
the IQ elite and to distance themselves from the dispossessed in what
amounts to an invitation to class warfare. Scholarly brinkmanship
encourages
the reader to draw the strongest conclusions, while allowing the authors
to disavow this intention. (p. 63)
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On divisive arguments:
Perhaps the most troubling aspect of the book is its
rhetorical
stance. This is one of the most stylistically divisive books that I have
ever read. Despite occasional avowals of regret and the few utopian pages
at the end, Herrnstein and Murray set up an us/them dichotomy that
eventually
culminates in an us-against-them opposition. (p. 70)
Who are "we" ? Well, we are the people who went to Harvard (as the
jacket credits both of the authors) or attended similar colleges and
read books like this. We are the smart, the rich, the powerful, the
worriers. (p. 70)
Why is this so singularly off-putting? I would have thought it
unnecessary
to say, but if people as psychometrically smart as Messrs. Herrnstein
and Murray did not "get it," it is safer to be explicit. High IQ
doesn't
make a person one whit better than anybody else. And if we are to have
any chance of a civil and humane society, we had better avoid the smug
self-satisfaction of an elite that reeks of arrogance and
condescension.
(p. 71)
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On social policy:
Though there are seven appendices, spanning over 100 pages,
and nearly 200 pages of footnotes, bibliography, and index, one element
is notably missing from this tome: a report on any program of social
intervention
that works. For example, Herrnstein and Murray never mention Lisbeth
Schorr's
Within Our Reach: Breaking the Cycle of Disadvantage, a book that was
prompted in part by Losing Ground. Schorr chronicles a number of social
programs that have made a genuine difference in education, child health
service, family planning, and other lightning rod areas of our society.
And to the ranks of the programs chronicled in Schorr's book, many new
names can now be added. Those who have launched Interfaith Educational
Agencies, City Year, Teach for America, Jobs for the Future, and hundreds
of other service agencies have not succumbed to the sense of futility
and abandonment of the poor that the Herrnstein and Murray book
promotes.
(p. 71)
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Concluding comments:
It is callous to write a work that casts earlier attempts to
help the disadvantaged in the least favorable light, strongly suggests
that nothing positive can be done in the present climate, contributes
to an us-against-them mentality, and then posits a miraculous cure. High
intelligence and high creativity are desirable. But unless they are
linked
to some kind of a moral compass, their possessors might best be consigned
to an island of glass bead game players, with no access to the mainland.
(p. 72)
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Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics
(excerpts)
Leon J. Kamin
Leon J. Kamin is professor of psychology at
Northeastern
University; he is author of The Science and Politics of IQ, and
with R. C. Lewontin and Steven Rose of Not in Our
Genes.
His article is an expanded version of a review that
appeared in Scientific American February 1995.
An overall
perspective:
"The publicity barrage with which the book
was launched might suggest that The Bell Curve has something new
to say; it doesn't. The authors, in this most recent eruption of the
crude
biological determinism that permeates the history of IQ testing, assert
that scientific evidence demonstrates the existence of genetically
determined
differences in intelligence among social classes and races. They cite
some 1,OOO references from the social and biological sciences, and make
a number of suggestions for changing social policies. The pretense is
made that there is some logical, "scientific" connection between evidence
culled from those cited sources and the authors' policy recommendations.
Those policies would not be necessary or humane even if the cited
evidence
were valid. But I want to concentrate on what I regard as two disastrous
failings of the book. First, the caliber of the data cited by Herrnstein
and Murray is, at many critical points, pathetic and their citations of
those weak data are often inaccurate. Second, their failure to
distinguish
between correlation and causation repeatedly leads Herrnstein and Murray
to draw invalid conclusions." (pp 81-82)
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On the subject of
evidence
sources:
"Herrnstein and Murray rely heavily upon
the work of Richard Lynn, whom they described as "a leading scholar of
racial and ethnic differences", from whose advice they have "benefited
especially". "
"I will not mince words. Lynn's distortions and
misrepresentations of the data constitute a truly venomous racism,
combined
with scandalous disregard for scientific objectivity. But to anybody
familiar with Lynn's work and background, this comes as no surprise.
Lynn is widely known to be an associate editor of the vulgarly racist
journal Mankind Quarterly; his 1991 paper comparing the
intelligence
of "Negroids" and "Negroid-Caucasoid hybrids" appeared in its pages.
He is a major recipient of financial support from the nativist and
eugenically
oriented Pioneer Fund. It is a matter of shame and disgrace that two
eminent social scientists, fully aware of the sensitivity of the issues
they address, take as their scientific tutor Richard Lynn, and accept
uncritically his surveys of research. Murray, in a newspaper interview,
asserted that he and Herrnstein had not inquired about the
"antecedents"
of the research they cite. "We used studies that exclusively, to my
knowledge, meet the tests of scholarship." What tests of scholarship?"
(p. 86)
Herrnstein and Murray cite the work of Arthur
Jensen
on reaction time testing and racial differences Kamin comments:
"The cited Jensen paper (1993) presents data for
blacks and whites, for both reaction and movement time, for three
different
"elementary cognitive tasks." The results are not, despite Herrnstein
and Murray's contention, "consistent." Blacks are reported to have
faster
movement times on only two of the three tasks; and they have faster
reaction times than whites on one task, "choice reaction time."
Simple reaction time merely requires the subject to respond as quickly
as possible to a given stimulus each time it occurs. Choice reaction
time requires him/her to react differently to various stimuli as they
are presented in an unpredictable order. Thus it is said to be more
cognitively complex, and to require more processing, than simple
reaction
time. When Jensen first used reaction time in 1975 as a measure of
racial
differences in intelligence, he claimed that blacks and whites did not
differ in simple reaction time, but that whites, with their higher
intelligence,
were faster in choice reaction time. He repeated this ludicrous claim
incessantly, while refusing to make the raw data of his study available
for inspection. Then, in a subsequent 1984 paper, he was unable to
repeat
his earlier finding in a new study described as "inexplicably
inconsistent"
with his 1975 results. Now, in the still newer 1993 study cited by
Herrnstein
and Murray, Jensen reports as "an apparent anomaly" that (once again!)
blacks are slightly faster in choice reaction time than whites. Those
swift couriers, Herrnstein and Murray, are not stayed from their
appointed
rounds by anomalies and inconsistencies. Two out of three is not
conclusive.
Why not make the series three out of five?"(p. 88)
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On statistical
abuse:
"The confusion between correlation and
causation
permeates the largest section of The Bell Curve, an interminable
series of analyses of data gathered from the National Longitudinal Survey
of Labor Market Experience of Youth (NLSY). Those data, not surprisingly,
indicate that there is an association within each race between IQ and
socioeconomic status (SES). Herrnstein and Murray labor mightily in an
effort to show that low IQ is the cause of low SES, and not vice versa.
Their argument is decked out in all the trappings of science a veritable
barrage of charts, graphs, tables, appendices, and appeals to statistical
techniques that are unknown to many readers. But on close examination,
this scientific emperor is wearing no clothes." (p. 90)
"Herrnstein and Murray pick over these data, trying
to show that it is overwhelmingly IQ not childhood or adult SES that
determines worldly success and the moral praiseworthiness of one's
social
behaviors. But their dismissal of SES as a major factor rests
ultimately
on the self-reports of youngsters. That is not an entirely firm basis.
I do not want to suggest that such self-reports are entirely unrelated
to reality. We know, after all, that children from differing social
class backgrounds do indeed differ in IQ; and in the NLSY study the
young peoples' self-reports are correlated with the objective facts
of their IQ scores. But comparing the predictive value of those
self-reports
to that of quantitative test scores is playing with loaded dice." (p.
91)
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On the relationship
between poverty and intelligence:
"The core of the Herrnstein-Murray message
is phrased with a beguiling simplicity: "Putting it all together, success
and failure in the American economy, and all that goes with it, are
increasingly
a matter of the genes that people inherit." The "increasing value of
intelligence
in the marketplace" brings "prosperity for those lucky enough to be
intelligent."
Income is a "family trait" because IQ, "a major predictor of income,
passes
on sufficiently from one generation to the next to constrain economic
mobility." Those at the bottom of the economic heap were unlucky when
the IQ genes were passed out, and will remain there." (p. 91)
"There are a number of criticisms to be made of
the ways in which Herrnstein and Murray analyze the data, and
especially
so when they later extend their analyses to include black and Hispanic
youth. But for argument's sake, let us now suppose that their analyses
are appropriate and accurate. We can also grant that, rightly or
wrongly,
disproportionate salaries and wealth accrue to those with high IQ
scores.
What then do the Herrnstein-Murray analyses tell us?" (p. 92)
"The SES of one's parents cannot in any direct
sense
"cause" one's IQ to be high or low. Family income, even if accurately
reported, obviously cannot directly determine a child's performance
on an IQ test. But income and the other components of an SES index can
serve as rough indicators of the rearing environment to which a child
has been exposed. With exceptions, a child of a well-to-do broker is
likely to be exposed to book-learning earlier and more intensively than
a child of a laborer. And extensive practice at reading and calculating
does affect, very directly, one's IQ score. That is one plausible way
of interpreting the statistical link between parental SES and a child's
IQ." (p. 92)
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On affirmative
action:
"The Bell Curve, near its closing
tail, contains two chapters concerned with affirmative action, in higher
education and in the workplace. To read those chapters is to hear the
second shoe drop. The rest of the book, I believe, was written merely
as a prelude to its assault on affirmative action. The vigor of the
attack
is astonishing." (p. 98)
"Now, at long last, Herrnstein and Murray let it
all hang out: "affirmative action, in education and the workplace
alike,
is leaking a poison into the American soul." Having examined the
American
condition at the close of the twentieth century, these two
philosopher-kings
conclude, "It is time for America once again to try living with
inequality,
as life is lived...." This kind of sentiment, I imagine, lay behind
the conclusion of New York Times columnist Bob Herbert that "the
book is just a genteel way of calling somebody a nigger." Herbert is
right. The book has nothing to do with science." (p. 99)
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On the
divisiveness
of The Bell Curve's argument:
"That psychometric tradition of
heads-I-win-tails-you-lose
has been carried forward intact by Herrnstein and Murray. They
acknowledge
that James Flynn has demonstrated that across the world intelligence as
measured by IQ tests has been increasing dramatically over time. Thus
an average contemporary youngster, taking an IQ test that had been
standardized
twenty years ago, would have a considerably higher than average IQ score.
Perhaps, Herrnstein and Murray suggest, "Improved health, education, and
childhood interventions may hide the demographic effects.... Whatever
good things we can accomplish with changes in the environment would be
that much more effective if they did not have to fight a demographic head
wind." Their conviction that "something worth worrying about is happening
to the cognitive capital of the country" is unshakable. Imagine the
heights
that America could scale if a Ph.D. in social science were a prerequisite
for the production of offspring! With environmental advantages working
exclusively upon such splendid raw material, no head winds would delay
our arrival at Utopia. And we would sell more autos to the Japanese."
(p. 105)
"That is the kind of brave new world toward which
The Bell Curve points. Whether or not our country moves in that
direction depends upon our politics, not upon science. To pretend, as
Herrnstein and Murray do, that the 1,000-odd items in their
bibliography
provide a "scientific" basis for their reactionary politics may be a
clever political tactic, but it is a disservice to and abuse of
science.
That should be clear even to those scientists (I am not one of them)
who are comfortable with Herrnstein and Murray's politics. We owe it
to our fellow citizens to explain that the reception of their book had
nothing to do either with its scientific merit or the novelty of its
message." (p. 105)
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Herrnstein, R. J. and Murray, C., (1994). The Bell
Curve. New York: The Free Press.
Jacoby, R. and Glauberman, N., eds, (1995). The Bell
Curve Debate. Times Books.
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